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Tuesday 12.12.2017 | Name days: Otīlija, Iveta

Bashar al-Assad’s regime expected to fall soon

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Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RUThe upcoming withdrawal of Russian forces from Syria is related to the expected liquidation of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria, believes politologist Karlis Dauksts.

Withdrawal of Russian military forces will begin on Tuesday. Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed hope that the withdrawal of Russian forces will serve as a stimulus for the resolution of the Syrian conflict.

Commenting on Putin’s decision, Dauksts said it is related to some agreement and talks with USA in regards to the development scenario for Syria, because it is clear, he said, that Assad’s regime is no longer beneficial to USA and Russia. Dauksts says it is because Assad’s regime is so weak that it cannot provide resistance.

«Withdrawal of Russian military forces means Assad’s regime is close to liquidation. With that, it is important to think about the formation of the future for Syria. I believe the opposition in Syria will start working very actively soon. Talks will take place in Geneva. There, the opposition will voice its demands against Assad,» – the politologist predicts.

Speaking of the military aspect, Dauksts said such a step by Russia may have a financial aspect to it as well, as maintaining a large army costs a lot of money, which exacts considerable pressure on Russia and its economy. He adds that agreements signed by Russia allow it to keep at least two bases in Syria. With that, it is possible Russian forces may return, but under certain conditions.

When asked about them, the politologist explained that Russia may participate in an active diplomatic process in regards to combating the Islamic State terrorist organization. It is clear that the Syrian army will be the main force against this threat. However, the Syrian army, in its current state, is weak. It can be done with assistance from the Kurds, but this matter will likely meet a lot of geopolitical challenges largely associated with Turkey.

«This question hangs in the air – who will fight terrorists? Russia could say – alright, we have withdrawn our forces, maybe we can reach an agreement in regards to other ways to return using legal and approved methods?» – said Dauksts.

As previously reported, Russian President Vladimir Putin had ordered Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu to begin withdrawing a large portion of Russian military forces stationed in Syria out of the country.

«The objective of the Russian Defence Ministry and Military Forces has been completed,» – Putin told Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu. «This is why I have ordered the defence minister to begin the withdrawal of a large portion of our forces from the Syrian Arab Republic», TASS cites Putin’s words.

Withdrawal of Russia’s army contingent began on Tuesday. Putin has said that he hopes this will serve as a stimulus for a swift resolution of the conflict in Syria. Putin has discussed this matter with Bashar al-Assad, as mentioned in Kremlin’s report.

«Both leaders agree that airstrikes carried out by Russian forces have helped drastically change the situation in the fight against terrorism, disorganize the infrastructure of terrorists and cause considerable damage to them,» – Kremlin notes.

Putin and Assad also agreed that Moscow would keep an air force base in Syria in order to help monitor the peace process.

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