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Tuesday 22.08.2017 | Name days: Rudīte, Everts

Bookmakers sceptical about big residents' activity in the referendum

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In the referendum on amendments to the Constitution providing the second official language status for Russian 61% of citizens will participate, 26.5% will vote for the amendments, bookmakers of the company Betsafe forecast.

Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RU«The prognosis was based on the decreasing citizens’ activity ever since the restoration of the independence of Latvia, as well as on different priorities of different groups of society. It was expressed also on the basis of surveys published of Latvijas Fakti and experts’ prognosis. Although we appreciate the urgency of the language issue, we believe that it is exaggerated only in some groups of the society. Unfortunately, other people are too busy with their economic problems. Of course, the citizen’s activity will definitely be influenced by pre-referendum campaigns, as well as by weather on the referendum’s day,» the bookmaker Roberts Egle explains.

Bookmakers forecast that the residents’ activity in the referendum will be average – considerably lower than that of the referendum on the European Union membership, but higher than that of the referendum on the dismissal of the 10th Saeima – , namely, 61% of citizens of Latvia will participate in the referendum.

The survey of Latvijas Fakti published in the end of January showed that 62.7% of Latvian citizens are planning to participate in the referendum of February 18.

Prognosis of Betsafe bookmakers indicate that the voting in regions might turn out to be interesting. The lowest support for bilingualism will be in Vidzeme (coefficient 1.70), followed by Kurzeme (2.30), Zemgale (3.25), Riga (13.00) and Latgale (25.00). Besides Latgale could be the only election area voting for Russian as the second state language. This possibility is assessed with the coefficient 1.50.

In the referendum on the dismissal of the 10th Saeima participated 44.73% of citizens, but in the referendum on amendments to the Law on State Pensions voted only 21% of citizens. So far the biggest activity of citizens was observed in the referendum on the European Union membership where 71.49% of citizens took part.

The referendum on amendments to the Constitution providing the second official language status for Russian will take place on the 18th of February, 2012.

Ref: 102.110.110.303


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