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Friday 24.05.2013 | Name days: Marlēna, Ilvija, Ziedone

Germany could save eurozone by leaving it

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If Greece quits the euro, the European and global economies may face a disaster. But there is still time to reverse this destructive dynamic with a simple solution that has not been discussed much so far. Instead of pushing Greece out of the eurozone, Germany could voluntarily leave and reissue its deutsche mark, reports CNN.

Up to now, problems of the euro and the European Union have been solved, focusing on the debt and competitive weaknesses of the so-called peripheral countries (Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland). However, such issues were dealt with long before the euro was introduced. Back then it was done via periodic devaluation of the currencies of the less-competitive countries against those of the more competitive countries, especially against the deutsche mark.

The problem is not the weaknesses of the periphery, but the excessive strength of Germany. As long as the rest of the eurozone countries are in the euro block hand in hand with Germany, the only way for them to become more competitive is to launch severe austerity measures. But it is not clear whether the eurozone will be able to sustain the social and political pain of austerity long enough to near Germany’s competitiveness.

The alternative is for Germany to go back to its deutsche mark. That would immediately result in appreciation of the German currency and competitive devaluation of the euro for the remaining eurozone countries.

The most essential element of a euro rescue is a euro bond guaranteed jointly by all eurozone member countries. However, Germany has been strongly opposing to that, but if it returned to the deutsche mark, the obstacle would be removed.

If such a scenario comes true, Germany would still remain committed to the eurozone for a number of reasons. It would need the single currency block to buy its increasingly expensive exports. The Bundesbank (Germany’s central bank) would undoubtedly sell deutsche marks against euros to mitigate appreciation. The accumulated euros would then be invested in the new euro bonds. This in turn might inspire the European Central Bank to initiate quantitative easing programs that would stimulate the entire EU economy.

Ref: 105.105.105.1525


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  1. Libor says:

    Thats a great idea!!! Germany is beginning to screw us all up!

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  2. steve says:

    Germany would never do it, although it does make geed sense, who can compete economically with Germany in Europe, not one single country they are too strong. Its a clever idea by Germany to set up the eurozone, they tried to rule the world with military power in WWII and lost, this time its an economic war thats being fought, and there looks like only one winner …Germany. The rest of the eurozone countries must go down on ones knees and beg Germany for economic help! so I ask myself who really won the 2nd world war, amd who is in power and rules over Europe now? GERMANY! Europe must wise up, and start looking after each of their own countries and the people with, now before its too late! Europe has too many divisions at the moment between all european countries for a common currency to work along with a united front. Independant currency worked before, and still works, why cant it work again for Europe, people will still buy from other countries there will always be trade and competition, this is basic economics…supply and demand. Its just the way things are now, Germany demands everything and supplies everything….see my point !!

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  3. JPR says:

    It will never happen. Germany has great advantage of the status quo and will maintain it.

    Greece, however, is in the dumps and others will decide for them. Out of the EU this year?

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