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Ceturtdiena 21.06.2018 | Name days: Monvīds, Egita, Emīls

Prediction: technology will change, modern people will not

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The development rates of modern technology will soon bring mankind to a new – augmented reality, quantum computer, cloud storage and information war age. No humans will be fighting in this war, only machines, says Kaspersky Lab European Research Centre manager Magnus Kalkuhl.

“In 1997, IBM’s Deep Blue defeated the Russian Garry Kasparov 3.5-2.5 (the chess world champion had managed to win the previous match played the year before) – but its success was based on enormous processing power rather than true intelligence. We’ve already seen the Google Car obtain a license in the state of Nevada this year, making it the first ever motor vehicle to be recognized as capable of driving itself without human input,” – says the expert in the “IT security in 2030 – only humans will be the same” article published on

When predicting the future, Kalkuhl allows for the possibility that smartphones may lose their status of an irreplaceable attribute of a modern person, giving way to augmented reality. “These are special optical aids – including a built-in camera, display and computer. The special feature of augmented reality is that for the wearer reality and computer-generated images merge together. Thanks to a continuously activated camera and the face recognition function, a poor memory for names won’t be a problem any longer as the name, age and profession of the person we are talking to will be automatically displayed next to his or her face. On holiday, foreign-language menus will simply be replaced by a translated version,” – says the specialist.

According to him, processing of enormous chunks of data will become possible thanks to the processing power of quantum computers. Data will gradually migrate from user storage devices to clouds. “It seems certain, however, that rootkits, Trojans and phishing attacks will continue to be serious problems over the coming years, with attackers concentrating more on servers than on devices. This is because more vulnerabilities appear in complex environments and it is reasonable to assume that the operating systems of tablets and smartphones will be “purged” within the next few years and that the bulk of the coding will be shifted into the cloud – and thus onto the server side.

It is, of course, not just the financial implications of the computer viruses of the future that are serious. The detection of the sabotage worm known as Stuxnet in 2010 confirmed suspicions that malware could also have a political context,” – he says.

He also believes that technological development will also gain much in the field of artificial intelligence. “Our minds, as well as our senses, developed over millions of years by the gentle hand of evolution, will be suddenly exposed in one blink of history’s eye to technologies that are generations ahead of our biological development. As suddenly as this trend has emerged, its end may not be far off – humans working to create new security threats could be superseded by machines fighting against machines. This is where the progress of artificial intelligence could be crucial,” – says the author.

However, according to him, it is too soon to believe every possible technological advancement scenario will undoubtedly bring about the apocalypse. “The future holds exciting opportunities, but there are also lots of risks and our own weaknesses. On a computer-controlled planet, neither clocking in nor job centers would exist. Everybody would be free to realize his or her own dreams and talents. Depending on our self-discipline, a world full of artists, athletes and writers might emerge – or, on the contrary, a sad little heap of lethargic couch potatoes!”- he concludes.


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