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Tuesday 21.11.2017 | Name days: Andis, Zeltīte

Researcher: Russia wants a pro-Russian Latvia, but a direct invasion is unlikely

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Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RUEvents that transpired in Crimea, when Russia annexed the Ukrainian peninsula, cannot happen in Latvia, believes National Defence Academy’s researcher Jānis Bērziņš.

In his interview to Labrīt! programme of Latvijas Radio, Bērziņš explained that Russia would only turn to such means in Latvia if there are appropriate conditions. According to him, Russia wants to maintain Latvia within its interests and wants Latvia to be pro-Russian. However, an invasion or sudden appearance of ‘green men’ is unlikely. ‘I don’t think Crimea’s scenario would happen in Latvia,’ – said Bērziņš.

However, he believes NATO should consider replacing the work ‘armed’ in Article 5 of NATO treaty regarding an armed invasion of one of NATO member states. Russia’s newly-developed art of war, which it recently demonstrated in Ukraine, does not necessarily involve the introduction of military forces in another country to initiate armed clashes. The war of the next generation, which was demonstrated by Russia in Ukraine, does not resemble a classic type of war. Article 5 of NATO treaty provides for armed assistance in the event of a military invasion of another country.

Bērziņš doubts that Russia wants to annex Ukraine’s south-east, which would result in the division of this country. It is also highly unlikely that Russia wants to annex Transnistria. It is far more likely that Russia wants Moldova to be a pro-Russian state that defends Russia’s interests.

Two other signs that describe Russia’s current actions include the attempts to show Russian residents that everything President Vladimir Putin does is legal. For example, it is said he asked the Russian State Duma for permission before ordering troops to enter Crimea. The west did not believe this kind of policy, but it was nonetheless important for Putin to show residents that Russia is not a bandit and aggressive country, but one that acts in line with laws and regulations.

BNN had previously reported that pro-Russian separatists in Donetsk had declared the autonomy of the Donetsk People’s Republic in accordance with results of the recent referendum, where 89% of voters gave their votes in favour of independence from Ukraine.


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  1. mike walsh says:

    Marginalising Latvia’s considerable Russian population has always been counter productive. The Baltic media are the leaders of the pack in whipping up hostility towards Russia. This of course affects the ethnic Russians. It would be like Britain focusing negatively in their Irish or Scottish resident citizens.

    The Baltic peoples, because of their notoriously pro-NATO media and political elite, will pay a very high price for ostracizing the Russians and their virulently anti-Russian bias.

    Is it a case of the empire striking back. It is now official, Russia is ditching the dollar. If that happens your God Almighty dollar collapses and you will not see NATO troops for the dust of their departing heels.

    I love the Baltic States and peoples, their culture, their everything. I doubt they will survive their media and arm-in-arm their slavish politicians.

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  2. Piotr says:

    Why don’t you just keep your ludicrous opinions to yourself Walsh you crazy, twisted little green man, everything that you write on here is total dribble. I don’t think any paper (apart from pro kremlin news sites) in the world would take any notice of the total crap you write. Call yourself a journalist, a journalist remains impartial and never takes sides, they just report and write about the truth. I really don’t think you could possibly write anything truthful even if it bit you up the arse.

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