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Wednesday 13.12.2017 | Name days: Veldze, Lūcija

Russian politologist: Russia’s ‘victory’ in Ukraine may become a catastrophe

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Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RUKremlin has to understand – use of any kind of force creates high risks and makes the situation only more and more unpredictable, believes head of Strategic Evaluation Department of Russian Science Academy Sergei Utkin.

‘We have had generals in the past who solve problems with a single group of soldiers. We cannot see the end result of the situation in Ukraine. There is a high probability that the so-called victory of Russia may turn out a catastrophe, and it will not be because of economics. Its cause will be uncertainty,’ – says Utkin.

The expert believes that Kremlin does not want there to be a real war. However, there is a risk of Russia being pulled in one against its will.

‘If Mr. Putin sees an opportunity to breach certain international rules, pointing at USA at the same time, it does not mean he has lost his head and plans to conquer territories. If you look at his work schedule, you will see a great many responsibilities and plans for what is currently happening in Russia,’ – said the politologist.

‘The current conflict is much more local in comparison with dramatic events in the Middle East around the oil line. This will directly affect the fate of the post-Soviet bloc. Russia simply does not have the resources to keep developing so-called successes like Crimea,’ – adds Utkin.

The politologist is certain that opportunities remain for political regulation of the conflict in Ukraine. These opportunities are more or less based on what is proposed by the Russian Foreign Ministry: federalization and recognition of Russian language as second state language. ‘This is a hard decision to make for the people in Kyiv and the West – each side has its own principles. Nevertheless, this will allow maintaining control over the situation,’ – said the Russian expert.

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