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Friday 20.07.2018 | Name days: Ramona, Ritma
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Expert: Russia has launched the first and second phases of a new war in Latvia

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Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RURussia plans to finish its large-scale armed forces modernization programme by 2020. Experts believe even if the programme is successfully implemented, Russia’s combat potential will not increase significantly. Nevertheless, its new armed forces will be more effective and will be able to carry out the current Russian government’s ambitions by means of next generation wars, an example of which can be seen in Ukraine today.

According to public sources, Russia is busy replacing its outdated weapons, armoured vehicles, planes and ships, some of which have been in use since the Soviet Union, with the newest and modern variants, as reported by LTV.

In six years’ time a least 70% of Russia’s military will comply with requirements of the 21st century. Modernization will also apply to nuclear weapons, with an emphasis on launch platforms, submarines and aviation. According to specialists of Latvian Academy for National Defence, the main goal of reforms is to make the army more combat-ready, more disciplined and better equipped. The army needs to become more elite.

The main objective of the art of a new kind of war is the ability to win through the application of minimal military force. The modern war can be divided into eight phases. The first four do not provide for an open assault.

The first phase involves feeding the public propaganda and disinformation to divide people and increase the sense of dissatisfaction with socio-economic state. The second phase is the disorientation of the government and military structure, including through bribed politicians and officials. The next phase involves an attempt to paralyse the work of these structures. The fourth phase begins with the use of local provocatives and saboteurs in order to organize armed riots.

«We need to prepare for such threats, because Latvia now sees the realization of the first and part of the second phase,» – notes CEO of Security and Strategic Research Center Jānis Bērziņš.

Russian leaders aim at regaining territories or at least influence over of the former USSR. The Arctic Circle has also become a hotbed for conflict because of deposits of valuable resources. The expansion can be halted only by a lack of money. Economists say the previous income outlooks that originally allowed the planning of such an ambitious army modernization plan are no longer valid.

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