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Saturday 04.04.2020 | Name days: Valda, Herta, Ārvalda, Ārvalds
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Kazoka: political parties play «poker with bluffing»

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Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RUSome political parties are likely in the process of making plans for the second stage of presidential elections, as stated by politologists Filips Rajevskis and Iveta Kazoka. They do not exclude the possibility that Vejonis may yet acquire support from 51 deputies of the Saeima in the first stage of elections.

The Union of Greens and Farmers has announced Raimonds Vejonis as its official candidate. Unity has also decided to support him as a presidential candidate.

Rajevskis believes Unity’s decision to support Vejonis is very important, as support from two coalition parties is a strong signal for the candidate’s chances of being elected. Commenting on Unity’s motivation in favour of Vejonis and not some other candidate, the politologist allowed for the possibility that the party may be making plans for the second stage of presidential elections. Considering that there have been problems of divided views within Unity, the party may have made this decision in order to maintain internal peace.

The question regarding the National Alliance’s position on this matter has now become significant. Rajevsks does not believe Egils Levits will be cast aside that easily. The National Alliance will hold on to Levits to the last. This is how those politicians «pump up» support for themselves, said the politologist. According to him, the National Alliance will likely seek support Unity deputies. This could result in Unity becoming divided internally.

The politologist notes that none of the candidates will find it easy to acquire 51 votes. Nevertheless, Vejonis is currently the closest to getting there. When asked if Vejonis can expect to acquire all votes in UGF, Rajevskis noted that it is highly important for the party to demonstrate cohesion in this matter, as no candidate is safe in a closed vote. The politologist believes UGF has no other candidate in mind, adding that it is in the party’s interest to take the post of President of Latvia. This post will clearly demonstrate to all who calls the shots in the coalition. He believes Vejonis’ election would serve and «muscle flexing» for UGF.

Iveta Kazoke, researcher of Providus, believes Unity is currently trying to maintain its positions. This is why the party is prepared to «give away» the aforementioned post in favour of UGF in order to calm the party. At the same time, Unity may believe that a resolution of this matter in favour of UGF would make sure the party does not sign a separatist agreement with Harmony.

Considering the closed vote system in Latvia, Vejonis’ chances of becoming President of Latvia are unpredictable. Kazoka believes UGF’s decision not to offer an open vote for the president in order to be certain in support from coalition partners means there is no unity within the party in regard to Vejonis as a candidate.

The politologist notes that it is hard to predict the National Alliance’s behaviour. If the party maintains its current low level of ambition, it may decide to support Vejonis in the end. However, should the party decide to show itself, it will likely stay with Levits as the party’s official candidate, said Kazoka.

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