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Wednesday 18.07.2018 | Name days: Rozālija, Roze

Russian historian: Russia may destabilize the situation in the Baltics

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Baltic news, News from Latvia, BNN.LV, BNN-NEWS.COM, BNN-NEWS.RURussia may attempt to destabilize the situation in the Baltic States using its agents among Russian speakers living there, especially in Latvia and Estonia. This may take place in the nearest future, believes one of the most well-known Russian historians Boris Sokolov, whose opinion often goes against Kremlin’s official opinion.

In his interview to Panorāma programme, he admitted that Russia and Europe have different traditions for the celebration of the end of WWII. ‘Europe and North America celebrate victory on May 8th. It was Stalin who decided to make May 9th the official Victory Day in the Soviet Union. It is possible that he did not want to celebrate Victory Day on the birthday of then the U.S. President Harry Truman (born May 8th),’ – says Sokolov.

When asked if Russia is different from the Soviet Union in its repressive nature, Sokolov replied that the annexation of Crimea and attack on Eastern Ukraine were carried out following the same scenario. ‘Bolsheviks used the same scenario in their activities in Ukraine and other locations in 1918 and 1919. Some group of people gather, announce themselves a republic and call in the Red Army. This is how Caucasus, Ukraine and Baltic States were occupied,’ – says the historian.

When asked if Russia plans to go further, Sokolov said ‘Russia will not decide to attack the Baltic States. They are protected by NATO. Attempts to destabilize the situation in the Baltic States, however, remain entirely possible, especially in Latvia and Estonia, where special services have their agents among Russian-speakers living there. And this may take place in the nearest future – even before the resolution of the crisis in Ukriane.’

He is also certain that Russia will not collapse. ‘The regime may change, but nothing above that. It is possible that the new one will be authoritarian. However, it will not be as savage as this one. The EU is not economically interested in sanctions against Russia. For example, serious American sanctions will heavily impact EU, and for a long time. It will last for half a year until directions change. USA could set sanctions without major losses, because their interests in Russia are minimal. They are afraid, however, to hurt their associates in Europe. This is why they try to coordinate sanctions, but fail, because Europe is afraid. The American President needs to take decisive steps. If they had a more decisive president, he would have taken those steps by now. The West will not wait long with sanctions – they will introduce new ones. This is why Putin has brought down the world order, so to speak. He has put himself outside of international rules. You can forget about stability within Europe. When Europe’s capitals finally wake up, there will be sanctions. How long it may take for them to do this, I don’t know. I believe there should be some uprising, because I doubt Putin would resign on his own. He would prefer Russians to be poor but proud.’

‘Russia speaks not about Ukraine’s federalization, but about Ukraine’s separation. Russia wants all these republics – Donetsk, Lugansk, Transnistria and God knows how many other such republics – to cooperate with Russia and no one else. They would have their own economies and armed forces, and they would only nominally be art of Ukraine. This is what it’s all about. And when someone says Ukraine oppresses Russian-speakers, you know these are lies. It is rare to hear Ukrainian speech in Eastern regions. No one forces anyone to speak Ukrainian there and no one oppresses Russians there.’


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  1. Linda says:

    Hurrah! Someone who tells it how it is, a gremlin in Kremlin!

  2. Anonymous says:

    One in Latvia we already know, Michael Walsh or something like that

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